• ACD Insight

    Sinai plane crash: far-reaching consequences for Egypt

    18 December 2015.  ISIS-affiliated group Sinai Province claimed responsibility for downing the Russian jet that crashed on 31 October. The incident highlighted a failure on the part of the Egyptian security services to contain the group’s activities, but also has severe implications for Egypt’s economy and long-term stability.

  • ACD Insight

    Beyond Operation Zarb-e-Azb in northwest Pakistan

    04 December 2015.  Pakistani ground forces began their assault into the Shawal Valley, the final substantial militant stronghold in North Waziristan, in August. Shawal represents an endgame of sorts for Operation Zarb-e-Azb, the large-scale offensive to clear the region of militants. It has successfully dislodged the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), but Pakistan’s northwestern tribal areas face significant challenges as the operation draws to a close.

  • ACD Insight

    Mali’s prospects for peace

    27 November 2015.  Twenty-one people were killed in the attack on a hotel in Bamako on 20 November by Al-Mourabitoun, one of several radical Muslim factions operating in northern Mali. The recurring conflict between Tuareg actors and the government also continues to threaten security, with the peace process hindered by the prevalence of trafficking and criminality.

  • ACD Insight

    Myanmar’s peace process after the elections

    13 November 2015.  The National League for Democracy (NLD) has won Myanmar’s historic election just a few weeks after the government and ethnic armed organisations signed a Nationwide Ceasefire Agreement (NCA). With the ambitious next phase of the peace process due to start in January 2016, the current government will need to adopt a framework for dialogue before handing over to its successor.

  • ACD Insight

    Lebanon, Hizbullah and the battle of Zabadani

    23 October 2015.  To many Lebanese observers, the battle of Zabadani was a potential turning point in the Syrian conflict’s repercussions on their own country. Restoring Syrian regime control in the city and the Qalamoun region impedes rebel infiltration into Lebanon, but the area is also of great strategic value to Shia militia Hizbullah.

  • ACD Insight

    Ankara bombing further divides Turkish society

    16 October 2015.  The recent deadly attack on activists in Ankara and the bombing in Suruc in July have reignited the conflict between the Turkish government and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK). The conflict has polarised Turkish politics and society, and shows little sign of abating, despite hopes earlier this year that peace would soon be achieved.

  • ACD Insight

    The brief conquest of Kunduz

    09 October 2015.  The fall of Kunduz at the end of September was a huge propaganda victory for the Taliban, despite the short period of time it held the city. The incident raised questions about the performance of Afghan forces and strengthened the hand of those who argue that Western countries must slow the drawdown of their forces.

  • ACD Insight

    Perilous escape routes from Iraq’s multiple battlefields

    21 September 2015.  The number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Iraq currently stands at around 3.2 million. Conditions for those fleeing ISIS-controlled areas are becoming increasingly dire, as the Iraqi government seeks to restrict their entry into Baghdad, and ISIS cracks down on internal resistance, using brutal tactics to prevent a mass exodus from areas it controls.

  • ACD Insight

    Peace deal signed in South Sudan

    10 September 2015.  South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir has signed a much-anticipated peace agreement with his rival and rebel leader Riek Machar, but many questions remain as to whether the agreement will end the country’s 20-month civil war. 

  • ACD Insight

    Slow progress in Yemen despite military victories

    01 September 2015.  With anti-Houthi Popular Resistance forces largely controlling four key governorates of Yemen and further gains in new strategic locations, it would appear progress is being made in resolving the conflict. However, military advances are being hampered by the resurgence of armed groups in the south, leaving Yemen in a continued state of insecurity.